Research Briefing | Unemployment and participation rates set to increase

The labour market has outperformed our bleak expectations since the pandemic hit.  But in some ways, it has flattered to deceive. Temporary changes to support programs encouraged a large exodus from the labour force, which has kept downward pressure on the unemployment rate.

October 2020

  • Labour market flows have been effected by temporary changes to social assistance polices.

  • The surge in JobSeeker recipients represents the spike in spare capacity
  • Withstanding Victoria, the participation rate has recovered quickly and is set to rise further

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