Global Cities 2030 for December 2016                       The largest 100 cities: a clear shift Eastwards


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The data and forecasts in this report are drawn from Oxford Economics’ global cities services. This comprehensive set of forecast databanks covers nearly 3,000 cities and regions, with comprehensive data for Europe, North America, Latin America, China, Asia, and Africa and the Middle East.

This report summarises key findings from our most recent round of forecasts, identifying some of the fastest growing cities in each part of the world, and also which of the largest cities seem set to perform best (and worst).

December 2016

  • We expect significant changes in the world economic order over the next decade and a half. Not surprisingly,
    Chinese cities will be at the forefront of these changes.
  • The aggregate GDP of China’s 150 largest cities is forecast to double from around US$10 trillion today to US$20 trillion in
    2030 (measured in 2012 prices and exchange rates).
  • This means that Chinese cities will account for almost half of the increase in global city GDP and will represent a third of total
    urban GDP by 2030. By contrast, the combined output of the 58 North American cities covered in our analysis will rise by US$4.0 trillion, followed by non-Chinese Asian cities (US$3.5 trillion) and then European cities (US$3.2 trillion).


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