Global Scenarios Service: Q3 2016                     Political peril: Trump and the post-Brexit global economy

The outlook for the global economy has weakened over the past three months. While the immediate impact of the UK’s vote to leave the EU has been relatively muted, our baseline forecast for global growth has edged down. At the same time, risks remain to the downside with concerns shifting from China to the potential fall-out from political developments in Europe and the US.

We explore there and other key economic risks in this report:

  • European economy falters post Brexit
  • Trump presidency weighs on global growth
  • Tighter policies in China weigh on global growth
  • Secular stagnation
  • Fiscal loosening boosts the global economy
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