Global | Coronavirus Watch: Feeling the pain

Ipad Frame (2)-3


What you'll learn

  • We have downgraded our global GDP growth forecasts again, putting us firmly at the more pessimistic end of the forecast spectrum
  • Our expectation for a near 7% plunge in activity in H1 would result in global GDP falling by 2.8% for the whole of 2020, a much worse contraction than the 1.1% drop recorded in 2009
  • The first key uncertainty is the size of the economic cost of lockdowns

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