Trump vs Clinton: Polarization and Uncertainty

The economic impact of the US elections

Ahead of the US presidential elections, our economists took a close look the economic policy put forward by the Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump campaigns and their macroeconomic impact over the coming years.

In this research briefing we describe how four key factors explain diverging economic trajectories under a Trump and Clinton presidency:

  • Fiscal
  • Trade
  • Immigration policy
  • Confidence/uncertainty.

The analysis was created using our internationally renowned Global Economic Model, which provides a rigorous and consistent structure for forecasting and scenario analysis. 

As an independent economic advisory firm, Oxford Economics has no political affiliation.

Comparison of Trump and Clinton Economic Plans


If you are a Global Marco Service subscriber, click here to access the report.