Thursday 4 April - Frasers suites

BIS Oxford Economics invites you to attend our bi-annual Business Forecasting Conferences, discussing recent developments and the medium term outlook for Australia’s economy and the construction sector.

ECONOMICS SESSION | 8:00 - 10:00 am 
  • How concerned should we be about the current volatility in financial markets? Is a sharp slowdown imminent, or are the fundamentals for global growth still solid?
  • Domestically, how much of a drag will the housing market/residential construction downturn be on GDP growth? Should we still be concerned about household spending?
  • With government infrastructure investment activity set to fall back as the NBN rollout is completed, will business investment increase to fill the gap left behind?
  • With the unemployment rate falling to 5%, how close are we to full employment? How will wage growth evolve over the next 1-2 years, and what will be the implications of this for inflation and the cash rate?

8:00 – 8.30am: Registration & breakfast

8.30 – 8.50am: International outlook

8.50 – 9.40am: Domestic overview

9.40 – 10:00am: Industry & states outlook


 Sarah_Hunter-1Sarah Hunter | Chief Economist

Sarah Hunter is the BIS Oxford Economics Chief Economist. She leads the team that is responsible for our BIS Oxford Economics subscription services, which provides clients with detailed analysis of Australia’s economy. She directs the research agenda of the team, contributes content to our flagship economics service, the Australia Macro Service, as well as regularly presenting the Australia and



CONSTRUCTION | 10:00 am - 12:30 pm
  • What is the outlook for population growth and how will it affect housing demand? Given the political environment, will we see a reduction in net overseas migration in the next few years?
  • Overall, how deep will be the correction in residential building commencements and prices? What role will lending conditions play in this, and how will it be reflected in the outlook for detached house and attached dwelling construction activity?
  • How sustainable is the growth in non-residential building commencements? Which segments and states are likely to perform best, and will it offset weakness in the residential market?
  • Is the infrastructure boom which is driving engineering construction activity running out of puff? How strong is the expected pickup in resources-based activity? Which states and sectors have the best prospects for growth in engineering construction work from here?
  • What are the implications of cycles in building and engineering for the total construction market, as well as industry capacity, capability and costs?

10:00-10.15am: Registration & coffee

10.15-11.05am: Introduction & residential outlook

11.05-11.25am: Morning tea

11.25-12.30pm: Non-residential & engineering construction outlook


 Robert_Mellor-1Robert Mellor | Managing Director

Robert joined BIS Shrapnel in 1984, was appointed a Director of the company in 1987 and Managing Director in July 2007. Robert is regarded as Australia’s leading forecaster on the building and residential markets. He has over 35 years’ experience in forecasting building activity, and his views and comments are regularly sought by the national media. Many of Australia’s leading builders and building material manufacturers consult with Robert in preparing their annual budget plans.


Richard Robinson

Richard Robinson | Associate Director – Economics

Richard is a senior member of the subscriptions team, with over 30 years of experience producing forecasts for Australia’s economy. He regularly forecasts resources investment and civil engineering construction activity, as well as a range of economic indicators at the national and state level. In this work, he has developed considerable industry expertise across a range of expenditure and industry sectors of the Australian and state economies.




Phone: Sydney & Melbourne bookings - Joy Xenita on 02 8458 4220 or

Brisbane, Adelaide or Perth bookings - Rosemary Towers on 02 8458 4226

BIS Oxford Economics Pty Ltd